The Humanist Cafe

Wednesday, July 5, 7:00 to 8:30 pm
James Bay New Horizons
234 Menzies Street James Bay

Topic: The End Of Petrol In 8 Years – Really?

moderator – John Pope

Let’s exercise our critical thinking skills in our usual open discussion format by examining the claims in the article attached.

The article begins with this:

“No more petrol or diesel cars, buses, or trucks will be sold anywhere in the world within eight years. The entire market for land transport will switch to electrification, leading to a collapse of oil prices and the demise of the petroleum industry as we have known it for a century.

This is the futuristic forecast by Stanford University economist Tony Seba, founder of technology consultants RethinkX . His report, with the deceptively bland title Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030, has gone viral in green circles and is causing spasms of anxiety in the established industries.”

The article “The end of petrol and diesel cars? All vehicles will be electric by 2025, says expert”  -The Telegraph, UK appears here, but requires a sign in and download which I have done for you in the attachment.

Questions for discussion:

What claims in Seba’s report are questionable?  Why?

If this prediction is of such great importance (to “greens”), why has the dominant media ignored it?

Is this just another example of futurology at work?

...and if Seba is right:

  1. What lifestyle, economic, and social changes will these changes in energy procurement create?
  2. Will world co2 emissions be reduced?  Will this this actually slow global warming?
  3. Will these evs be affordable?  Wouldn’t it be cheaper for people to just drive their old gas engine dinosaur until it dies?
  4. Where will the energy to fuel millions of evs come from?
  5. [Your question here]

See you there!  Bring someone new.